2024 NFL Power Rankings – Week 13

Special Thanksgiving Day Games Update

1. Detroit Lions (11-1): The Lions hung on for a Thanksgiving Day win over the Bears, 23-20. The Lions snapped a seven-game losing streak on Thanksgiving. The Lions will be back in action next Thursday Night against the Packers. Next: N/A vs Green Bay Packers – Thu, Dec. 5, 5:15 PM PT – O/U: N/A (ATS: 9-3 – O/U: 5-7) Win probability: N/A%

2. Buffalo Bills (9-2): The Bill are coming off their Bye Week in Week 12. They needed the week off to get healthy. The Bills can clinch the AFC East division title on Sunday Night with a victory, which would guarantee a playoff home game and give the Bills five weeks to prepare for the playoffs. Next: -7 vs San Francisco 49ers - Sun, Dec. 1, 5:20 PM PT – O/U: 43.5 (ATS: 7-4 – O/U: 7-4) Win probability: 72.9%

3. Kansas City Chiefs (10-1): The Chiefs continue to find ways to win games. The Chiefs beat the Panthers on a walk-off 31-yard field goal, 30-27. The fact that they are 10-1 and getting players healthy should make the fans of the Chiefs happy. But every game being close and squeaking out wins is going to catch up with the Chiefs. Next: -13.5 vs Las Vegas Raiders - Fri, Nov. 29, 12:00 PM PT – O/U: 42.5 (ATS: 5-6 – O/U: 6-5) Win probability: 89.2%

4. Minnesota Vikings (9-2): Quarterback Sam Darnold threw for 330 yards and two touchdowns, and the Vikings overcame the Bears in overtime, 30-27. The Vikings held a 27-16 lead with 1:56 remaining in the game, but somehow blew the lead and were forced into overtime, where they won the game on a 29-yard field goal with 2:10 remaining in overtime. Next: -3 vs Arizona Cardinals – Sun, Dec. 1, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 45 (ATS: 7-3-1 – O/U: 4-7) Win probability: 66.4%

5. Philadelphia Eagles (9-2): The Eagles won their seventh consecutive game, beating the Rams, 30-27. Running back Saquon Barkley ran for 255 yards and two touchdowns in the win. He is looking like the Offensive Player of the Year in the NFL. Next: +3 at Baltimore Ravens – Sun, Dec.1 , 1:25 PM PT – O/U: 50.5 (ATS: 7-4 – O/U: 5-6) Win probability: 39.7%

6. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3): The Steelers took a trip to Cleveland to play the struggling Browns and came home losers, falling to the Browns, 24-19. The disturbing piece of this loss was that the Steelers didn't look much better than the Browns. The Steelers ran out of smoke & mirrors in this game. Next: +3 at Cincinnati Bengals – Sun, Dec. 1, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 47.5 (ATS: 8-3 – O/U: 6-5) Win probability: 44.3 %

7. Baltimore Ravens (8-4): The Ravens knocked off the Chargers, 30-23 to keep their hopes of winning the AFC North division alive. The Ravens will face the Eagles on Sunday in a battle of the two best running backs in the NFL: Derrick Henry of the Ravens and Saquon Barkley of the Eagles. Next: -3 vs Philadelphia Eagles – Sun, Dec. 1, 1:25 PM PT – O/U 50.5 (ATS: 6-5-1 – O/U: 10-2) Win probability: 60.3%

8. Green Bay Packers (8-3): The Packers easily defeated the Dolphins in Green Bay are Thanksgiving, 30-17. Quarterback Jordan Love 21 of 28 passes for 274 yards and two touchdowns in leading the Packers to the win, solidifying their chances at making the playoffs in the NFC. Next: N/A at Detroit Lions - Thu, Dec. 5, 5:15 PM PT – O/U: 47.5 (ATS: 6-6 – O/U: 5-6-1) Win probability: N/A%

9. Los Angeles Chargers (7-4): The Chargers four game-winning streak came to an end at the hands of the Ravens on Monday Night, but they are still in a very good position for the seven team AFC playoffs. There are nine teams with seven or more losses in the AFC and if the Chargers just go 3-3 in their final six games, they will finish 10-7 and that should easily get them in. Next: -1 at Atlanta Falcons - Sun, Dec. 1, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 47.5 (ATS: 7-4 – O/U: 4-7) Win probability: 50.7%

10. Washington Commanders (7-5): The Commanders have now lost three in a row after losing to the Cowboys at home, 34-26. The Commanders are currently hanging on to the 7th playoff spot in the seven team NFC playoff race. They need a win this weekend. Next: -5.5 vs Tennessee Titans – Sun, Dec. 1, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 44.5 (ATS: 7-4-1 – O/U: 8-4) Win probability: 69.2%

11. Houston Texans (7-5): The Texans were stunned by the Titans in Houston, 32-27. The Texans look like a division winning team that a wild-card playoff team will look forward to playing in a playoff game. Next: -3.5 at Jacksonville Jaguars – Sun, Dec. 1, 10:00 AM PT – O/U 43.5 (ATS: 5-6-1 – O/U: 4-8) Win probability: 71.7%

12. Denver Broncos (7-5): The Broncos won on the road, beating the hapless Raiders, 29-19. The Broncos are in the 7th playoff spot in the AFC playoff picture. With five games remaining and the next two at home, they could wrap up a playoff berth before their December 19th game against the Chargers at SoFi Stadium. Next: -5.5 vs Cleveland Browns - Mon, Dec. 2, 5:15 PM PT – O/U: 41.5 (ATS: 9-3 – O/U: 7-5) Win probability: 69.4%

13. Seattle Seahawks (6-5): The Seahawks shut down the Cardinals offense in a 16-6 victory. The victory moved the Seahawks into a first-place tie with the Cardinals, with the Seahawks having the head-to-head advantage until they meet again on December 8th in Glendale, Arizona. Next: -1 at New York Jets - Sun, Dec. 1, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 42 (ATS: 4-6-1 - O/U: 5-6) Win probability: 48.9%

14. Arizona Cardinals (6-5): The Cardinals were held to six points in Seattle in a 16-6 loss. Quarterback Kyler Murray was sacked five times, threw a Pick-6 interception, and rushed for just nine yards in the loss. Next: +3 at Minnesota Vikings - Sun, Dec. 1, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 45 (ATS: 7-4 – O/U: 4-6-1) Win probability: 33.6%

15. Atlanta Falcons (6-5): The Falcons are coming off their Bye Week in Week 12 and need a victory. They have not won a football game since November 3rd, and it will not get any easier this week when the Chargers come to town. Next: +1 vs Los Angeles Chargers – Sun, Dec. 1, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 47.5 (ATS: 5-6 – O/U: 4-7) Win probability: 49.3%

16. Los Angeles Rams (5-6): The Rams got run over at SoFi Stadium on Sunday Night, losing to the Eagles, 37-20. The Eagles rushed for 314 yards in the game, led by running back Saquon Barkley with 255 yards and two touchdowns. Next: -3 at New Orleans Saints – Sun, Dec. 1, 1:05 PM PT – O/U: 49.5 (ATS: 4-7 – O/U: 6-5) Win probability: 55.3%

17. San Francisco 49ers (5-6): The 49ers got blow out by the Packers, 38-10 in Green Bay. The Niners do not look like a playoff team and the schedule will not get any easier this week with the Bills in Buffalo. Just too many injuries this season. Next: +7 at Buffalo Bills – Sun, Dec. 1, 5:20 PM PT – O/U: 43.5 (ATS: 4-7 – O/U: 6-5) Win probability: 27.1%

18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6): The Buccaneers moved to within one game of the first place Falcons in the NFC South race after defeating the Giants, 30-7. Rookie running back Bucky Irving rushed for 88 yards and a touchdown in 12 carries, while adding six catches for 64 yards in the win. Next: -6 at Carolina Panthers – Sun, Dec. 1, 1:05 PM PT – O/U: 46.5 (ATS: 7-4 – O/U: 7-4) Win probability: 72.3%

19. Cincinnati Bengals (4-7): The Bengals are coming off their Bye Week in Week 12 and they will jump right into it with a tough match up with the 8-3 Steelers in Cincinnati, a game both teams need to win. Next: -3 vs Pittsburgh Steelers – Sun, Dec. 1, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 47.5 (ATS: 6-5 – O/U: 8-3) Win probability: 55.7

20. Indianapolis Colts (5-7): The Colts lost to the Lions, 24-6 and need to start winning football games if they hope to make playoffs. They are two games behind the Texans in the AFC South race but are really three games behind because they got swept by the Texans this season. Next: -2.5 at New England Patriots – Sun, Dec. 1, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 42.5 (ATS: 8-4 – O/U: 5-7) Win probability: 63.7%

21. Miami Dolphins (5-7): Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa said that the cold weather does not affect his team's play and that he was looking forward to the challenge in Green Bay. The Dolphins then lost their 12th consecutive game in games that began with a temperature of 40 degrees or less, 30-17. The kickoff temperature at Lambeau Field was 27 degrees and a wind chill of 18. Next: N/A vs New York Jets - Sun, Dec. 8, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: N/A (ATS: 5-7 – O/U: 5-7) Win probability: N/A%

22. Dallas Cowboys (5-7): The Cowboys have won two in a row after defeating the Giants on Thanksgiving Day, 27-20. The Cowboys defense had six sacks and 14 hits on Giants QB Drew Lock. They also had a pick-six interception in a good day for the defense. Next: N/A vs Cincinnati Bengals - Mon, Dec. 9, 5:15 PM PT – O/U: N/A (ATS: 4-8 – O/U: 8-4) Win probability: N/A%

23. Chicago Bears (4-7): The Bears lost their sixth straight game on Thanksgiving to the Lions, 23-20, due to poor clock management by head coach Matt Eberflus, a constant theme under his coaching leadership. The next day, the Bears fired Eberflus and replaced him with interim offensive coordinator Thomas Brown. Next: N/A at San Francisco 49ers - Sun, Dec. 8, 1:25 PM PT – O/U: N/A (ATS: 6-4-1 – O/U: 4-8) Win probability: N/A%

24. New England Patriots (3-9): The Patriots lost to the Dolphins on Sunday, but the good news is that rookie quarterback Drake Maye looks like a future franchise quarterback for the Pats. It is always easier to turn a team around if that position is stable. Next: +2.5 vs Indianapolis Colts – Sun, Dec. 1, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 42.5 (ATS: 4-7-1 – O/U: 7-5) Win probability: 36.3%

25. Carolina Panthers (3-8): The Panthers lost on a 31-yard field goal as time expired to the Chiefs, 30-27. The good news for the Panthers is the improvement of quarterback Bryce Young, who completed 21 of 35 passes for 263 yards and one touchdown, while also rushing for 20 yards on three carries. Next: +6 vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Sun, Dec. 1, 1:05 PM PT – O/U: 46.5 (ATS: 4-7 – O/U: 8-3) Win probability: 27.7%

26. New Orleans Saints (4-7): The Saints have a two-game winning streak and are coming off their Bye Week in Week 12, which means they have not lost a football game in three weeks. They will attempt continue that streak of unbeaten weeks when the Rams come to down this weekend. Next: +3 vs Los Angeles Rams – Sun, Dec. 1, 1:05 PM PT – O/U: 49.5 (ATS: 5-6 – O/U: 7-4) Win probability: 44.7%

27. Tennessee Titans (3-8): The Tennessee Titans, once known as the Houston Oilers, returned to their former home in Houston and stunned the Texans, 32-27. Running back Tony Pollard rushed for 119 yards and one touchdown in the victory. Next: +5.5 at Washington Commanders – Sun, Dec. 1, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 44.5 (ATS: 2-9 – O/U: 6-4-1) Win probability: 30.8%

28. New York Jets (3-8): The Jets are coming off their Bye Week in Week 12, needing to win every game on their schedule to have a chance to make the playoffs as a wild-card team. If quarterback Aaron Rodgers still has any magic left in his arm, he needs to show it in these final six weeks. Next: +1 vs Seattle Seahawks - Sun, Dec. 1, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 42 (ATS: 3-8 – O/U: 5-5-1) Win probability: 51.1%

29. Cleveland Browns (3-8): The Browns stunned the Steelers and just gave further credence to the strong belief that quarterback Deshaun Watson is done as the Browns QB. The Browns have won 2 of their last 4 games with Jameis Winston at quarterback, beating the Ravens and Steelers. Next: +5.5 at Denver Broncos – Mon, Dec. 2, 5:15 PM PT – O/U: 41.5 (ATS: 4-7 – O/U: 5-6) Win probability: 30.6%

30. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9): The Jaguars are coming off their Bye Week in Week 12, hoping to solidify their position in the Top 5 of the 2025 NFL draft. The Jags have their QB in Trevor Lawrence, but it would be a whole lot better if they got Travis Hunter of Colorado, the best player in college football. Next: +3.5 vs Houston Texans - Sun, Dec. 1, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 43.5 (ATS: 6-5 – O/U: 7-4) Win probability: 28.3%

31. Las Vegas Raiders (2-9): The fading Raiders lost their seventh consecutive game to the Broncos, 29-19. The Raiders lost starting QB Gardner Minshew for the season with a broken collarbone and will start Aidan O'Connell this week with Desmond Ritter as his backup. The Raiders must find a starting QB in either the 2025 NFL Draft or via trade. Next: +13.5 at Kansas City Chiefs – Fri, Nov. 29, 12:00 PM PT – O/U: 42.5 (ATS: 4-7 – O/U: 8-3) Win probability: 10.8%

32. New York Giants (2-10): The best news for the New York Football Giants fans is that the team has finally reached rock bottom. If that doesn't finally wake up ownership... The Giants suffered their seventh consecutive loss on Thanksgiving to the Cowboys. 27-20. Starting QB Daniel Jones was released, cleared waivers and signed with the Vikings. The Giants will likely draft a QB in the 2025 NFL draft, but they need an offensive line makeover. Next: N/A vs New Orleans Saints – Sun, Dec. 8, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: N/A (ATS: 3-9 – O/U: 4-8) Win probability: N/A%

 

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